Staunton, VA 24401
Last Updated: 10/22/14 19:43:05 EDT
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Storm Summary and Projection:
Hurricane Summary POSTED: October 22, 2014 5:53 p.m. Tropical Depression 9 in the Far Eastern Bay of Campeche Tropical Depression 9 is slowly drifting to the east across the far eastern Bay of Campeche and will move inland on Mexico cyclone is located over warm ocean waters, convective clouds around the center of the storm remain limited and its proximity to land will inhibit further strengthening prior to landfall. Heavy rain, flash flooding and gusty winds are expected across the Yucatan Peninsula over the next few days. Rainfall amounts of 2-4 inches are expected along and north of the path of the storm. Wind gusts to 40 mph or gale force are possible along the western coast of the peninsula tonight and early tomorrow. After this system crosses the Yucatan Peninsula, it will move into the northwestern Caribbean later Friday. Once back over water the system will track slowly east or southeast over the western Caribbean, likely remaining south of Cuba. There is some chance that the low level circulation of Depression 9 might fall apart as it moves across the southern Yucatan. If that happens the system will no longer be considered a tropical cyclone. If Depression 9 maintains a low level circulation center once if moves back over water, there is the possibility that the tropical depression might gradually strengthen over the weekend. An unfavorable upper level pattern over the far northern and northwest Caribbean will prevent the system from strengthening. However, this hostile environment will relax during the weekend and the overall upper air pattern could become more favorable for further development and strengthening next week. Two other features we are monitoring basin are a tropical wave moving across the Windward Islands and an area of low pressure near the Azores and Canary Islands. High wind shear will keep the tropical wave near the Windward Islands from developing. The low south of the Azores remains a non tropical feature and odds are against it becoming a subtropical or tropical feature. By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski

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